Money that carries an if. The first payment primitive where the condition is settled by the world, not by either party.

Every friend group runs on unsettled promises: “dinner's on me if they win”, “I'll pay you back if the deal closes”, “bet you $20”. They are cheerful when made and awkward forever after, because somebody has to remember, ask, and be believed.

The tools we have are the wrong shape. Payments are unconditional. Prediction markets need both people to trade against a book. Escrow needs a trusted third party, and the third party is the problem.

A note. You write who, how much, an if, and a line. The if is a live Hyperliquid question with a date. The amount sits in a small HyperEVM contract that neither person controls. When the question settles, the money goes where you said, by itself: to them if it happened, back to you if it didn't. The recipient never has to do anything, which is what makes it a gift and not a chore.

Underneath, a primitive: conditional transfer with a bonded oracle. Any wallet, app, or agent can send money that arrives only if the world agrees.

Conditional money needs a condition nobody can bend. Hyperliquid's outcome markets are answered by deployers with 500,000 HYPE at stake, slashed for wrong or late answers, so the if is settled by the same machine that settles millions in open interest. HyperEVM shares the same accounts and dollars, so the escrow is one hop from the venue and the payout lands as spendable USDC. No bridge, no custodian, no vote.

1% of every payout, taken inside the contract and paid to whoever deployed it. Nothing on money that comes back, so a wrong guess costs nothing.

Then the primitive: white-label escrows for communities and creators, a fee share on conditional payroll and bounties, and the ownership desk, where MAYBE itself is sold to an operator with its contract, domain, and resolver.

Peer-to-peer payments move over a trillion dollars a year and every one of them is unconditional. Social betting apps do billions in small stakes between friends and settle by trust. Bounties, bonuses and milestone payments are a growing share of on-chain work and are paid late or by hand. MAYBE turns one habit, promising money on a condition, into a transfer that settles itself.

• MAYBE, the product↗
• Deploy the escrow from a wallet↗
• The contract↗
• Foundry, the store↗

1. Month 1Mainnet in USDC. Audit of the escrow. Notes as shareable images.
2. Month 2Claim by link for people without a wallet yet: the note makes them one.
3. Month 4Group maybes and bounties: one condition, many recipients. Telegram bot.
4. Month 6The primitive as an SDK for other apps. MAYBE on the ownership desk.

A grant of $140,000 buys the audit, mainnet operations for a year, the claim-by-link flow, the group and bounty forms, and the SDK. Success is ten thousand notes sent and a second app paying people through the primitive.

Built in the open, on a foundation that puts a new product on Hyperliquid in under an hour. Want conditional payments in your wallet or community? Talk to us.

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